November 1, 2025

Welcome Back,
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Good morning! In today’s issue, we’ll dig into the all of the latest moves and highlight what they mean for you right now. Along the way, you’ll find insights you can put to work immediately
— Ryan Rincon, Founder at The Wealth Wagon Inc.
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Today’s Post
The Global Economy at a Crossroads
Let’s explore the shifting currents in global economic growth — how the world is navigating a slowdown, where emerging opportunities lie, and what it might mean for you.
What the data is showing
According to the International Monetary Fund (IMF), global real GDP growth is projected at 2.8% in 2025 for advanced economies and emerging ones combined.
The Organization for Economic Co‑operation and Development (OECD) projects global growth slowing from 3.3% in 2024 to about 2.9% in 2025 and 2026.
For developing economies, the World Bank estimates growth at around 3.8% in 2025 — still positive, but clearly down from past averages.
Indicators such as the global composite output index from the S&P Global fell to 50.8 in April 2025, signaling “below-potential” growth.
Why we’re seeing this shift
Several key forces are pulling at global growth:
Trade and policy uncertainty
Many trade relationships are under strain. Higher tariffs, shifting supply chains, and policy change make businesses cautious. The OECD notes trade-policy uncertainty is weakening investment and exports.Investment slowing
With weaker demand and more risk, companies are investing less. This lowers productivity gains and makes growth harder to sustain.Emerging-market pressure
While still growing, many emerging economies are facing headwinds — aging workforces, structural reforms, weaker external demand. The World Bank’s numbers show this clearly.Fragmented growth
The pattern of growth isn’t uniform. Some regions (or sectors) are holding up better than others. The advanced economies, in particular, look weaker.
What to keep in mind
Growth is still positive — even at 2.8 %-3.0% globally, that’s growth. But it’s not the “boom times” of previous decades.
Quality of growth matters — slower growth may mean structural change becomes more important (technology, demographics, sustainability).
Regional winners may differ — some economies may outperform if they adapt faster, restructure better, or attract investment.
Volatility could rise — weaker growth means bumpier markets, more surprises, and perhaps more reliance on good data and policy choices.
For you (reader & investor)
Here’s how this picture could impact you personally or in your financial mindset:
Expect slower momentum — If you were used to “fast growth” thinking, shift to “steady growth + resilience”.
Focus on adaptability — Skills, jobs or investments that can adjust to changing growth patterns may serve you better.
Check regional exposure — Whether it’s investing or business, consider how different regions are adapting to slower growth.
Stay alert on data — With growth softer, signals matter. Use indicators like PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) or investment data to get ahead.
Balance risk and opportunity — Slower growth often means risk is higher; but adaptation & change create new chances too.
Quick Snapshot
Global growth → ~2.8-2.9% in 2025.
Emerging markets → ~3.8% in 2025, weaker than past decades.
Growth slowing, uneven across regions.
Key drivers: trade policy, investment, structural shifts.
Final thought
The world economy isn’t collapsing — but it is turning a corner. The rate of growth is lower and more fragile than we’ve come to expect. For The Economic Wagon audience, the message is this: it’s a moment for adaptation, not panic. Growth remains, but the rules are different.
That’s All For Today
I hope you enjoyed today’s issue of The Wealth Wagon. If you have any questions regarding today’s issue or future issues feel free to reply to this email and we will get back to you as soon as possible. Come back tomorrow for another great post. I hope to see you. 🤙
— Ryan Rincon, CEO and Founder at The Wealth Wagon Inc.
Disclaimer: This newsletter is for informational and educational purposes only and reflects the opinions of its editors and contributors. The content provided, including but not limited to real estate tips, stock market insights, business marketing strategies, and startup advice, is shared for general guidance and does not constitute financial, investment, real estate, legal, or business advice. We do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any information provided. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All investment, real estate, and business decisions involve inherent risks, and readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence and consult with qualified professionals before taking any action. This newsletter does not establish a fiduciary, advisory, or professional relationship between the publishers and readers.


